Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve effectiveness over the past six months, Elena Rybakina has a slight edge, winning 43.28% of points compared to Leylah Annie Fernandez's 41.98%. Could this minor advantage tip the scales in her favor?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Rybakina leads slightly with 48.02% of points won versus Fernandez's 47.58%. However, Fernandez excels in first serve returns, winning 30.67% compared to Rybakina's 25.21%.
• Under pressure, Rybakina has saved a higher percentage of breakpoints (57.28%) compared to Fernandez (50.93%), suggesting she might handle crucial points better.
• Overall match performance in the last year also favors Rybakina, who has won 72.00% of her matches, whereas Fernandez has achieved a 56.67% win rate.
• Looking at surface performance, Rybakina excels on grass with a 73% win rate, and Fernandez is best on indoor hard courts with the same percentage. However, neither player shows significant weakness on hard courts, where their upcoming match is likely to be held.
• Both players have competed frequently but at varying levels, with Rybakina mainly in Masters events and Fernandez in Main tour competitions, where they've shown different winning percentages.
• In their head-to-head encounters, Fernandez has a slight overall edge, having won two of their three matches. Nonetheless, they are tied in terms of sets won, each claiming four.
• Considering the opponent quality, Rybakina has faced slightly higher-ranked players on average, suggesting tougher competition.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Rybakina has a better record, winning 56% of them recently compared to Fernandez's 44%.

Editorial Prediction (October 23, 2025, UTC):

As we move closer to the upcoming match between Elena Rybakina and Leylah Annie Fernandez, a detailed look at their statistics reveals several important factors to consider for a prediction. Rybakina holds a slight advantage in second serve performance and break-point saves, which are crucial in tightly contested matches. Her effectiveness in past match-ups with higher-ranked opponents also speaks to her ability to handle challenges.

However, Fernandez's competence in first serve returns and her slight edge in their head-to-head record cannot be ignored, making her a formidable opponent. While both players have shown strengths, Rybakina's consistent performance patterns and ability to win more deciding sets suggest she might emerge as the likely winner this time.

Based on the current analysis, Elena Rybakina appears to have a slight edge for the win in this upcoming contest.